Executive Summary
Mabuchi Motor holds 50%+ global market share in small DC motors with 70% dominance in automotive mirror motors. The scale moat is wide - massive production volumes create cost advantages that new entrants cannot match. Family ownership ensures long-term orientation. A-quality business currently trading above accumulate at ¥4,000 (+14% gap). The EV transition creates both risks (changing motor specs) and opportunities (more motors per vehicle). Wait for ¥3,500 accumulate or ¥3,000 strong buy entry.
Note: This is a preliminary assessment based on shortlist screening data. A full multi-phase analysis (Risk → Financial → Moat → Synthesis) is required before any investment decision.
Moat Assessment: WIDE
Type: Scale + Cost Leadership
50%+ global market share in small motors. 70% of automotive mirror motors worldwide. Family-owned with strong corporate culture. Scale moat from massive production volumes and cost leadership.
Key Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Quality Grade | A |
| ROE | 10.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.5% |
| Moat Width | Wide |
| Current Price | ¥4,000 |
Entry Prices
| Level | Price | Gap to Current |
|---|---|---|
| Strong Buy | ¥3,000 | -25% |
| Accumulate | ¥3,500 | -12% |
Primary Risk
EV transition changing automotive motor requirements
Verdict: WAIT
Recommendation: WAIT - Full analysis required before any position.
Preliminary screening suggests A-quality business with wide moat. Entry prices set at ¥3,000 (Strong Buy) and ¥3,500 (Accumulate).
What Full Analysis Needs to Cover
- 5 years of annual reports - Revenue trends, margin evolution, competitive dynamics
- Balance sheet analysis - Net cash/debt, equity ratio, capital allocation history
- Detailed moat assessment - Customer interviews, competitive positioning, pricing power
- Management quality - Insider ownership, capital allocation track record, succession
- DCF valuation - Multi-scenario modeling with sensitivity analysis
- Macrotrend exposure - Technology disruption, demographic shifts, regulatory changes